Mid-Year Check-In: Did the 2026 Housing Predictions Hold Up?

Back in January, the housing market’s top forecasters were all about cautious optimism. The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR), Fannie Mae, Zillow, and the Mortgage Bankers Association all made the same broad prediction: This year would bring a “gradual thaw.” So how did the forecasts hold up? Let’s grade each one, category by category, and detail what it means for how you approach the rest of the year.

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